Finally, after a series of court cases for 12 months the Indian Government has allowed imports of White Poppy Seeds from Turkey from 1st Apr 2016 for 18000 tons. By July 2015 Turkey had a crop of about 25000 tons and Turkish Grain Board has officially declared to India that about 23000 tons is exportable to India about 2000 tons to rest of India but Indian Importers could not import for one full year due to pending court cases in Indian courts and during this period almost all the White Poppy Seeds in India had been consumed when India allowed imports on 1st April 2016, heavy rush for immediate shipment from Turkey as a result in just about 40 days about 9000 tons have been shipped to India and the cargo started landing at Indian ports from last week of April. This is the biggest ever shipment to India in White Poppy Seed history and TURKEY DALAL COMPANY LIMITED has a share of about 55% or about 5000 tons of shipments and remaining by other exporters.
In March 2016, White Poppy Seeds were traded around 2600 FOB and climbed upwards to touch the high of 3000 FOB during Mid-April with the help of relentless Indian buying, once cargo touched Indian ports then the buying stopped completely and currently White Poppy Seeds is traded about 2700 FOB to 2750 FOB levels. Turkish Currency devaluation, about 16000 tons of current stocks, fear of big New Crop in July 2016 are adding pressure to Turkish Market. India is likely to import another few thousand tons before the expiry of the import permit on 30th June 2016 but that would not be enough for Turkish prices to move upwards.
The speculators in Turkey trying very hard to keep the prices on higher side and get rid of the goods at first available opportunity which may result in panic selling in coming weeks. As New Crop approaching in July it is still early to predict anything about the quality and quantity of the crop. We will have to wait until June to get some clear reports about the New Crop from Turkish Grain Board.
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