Please be informed that the Turkish White Poppy Seeds is trading around 2750 to 2800 $ FOB.
India, the biggest importing country for Turkish White Poppy Seeds is still not allowing Poppy Seeds imports into Indian soil for over 16 months since July 2016. It must be noted that totally over 29000 tons that comes from carry over White Poppy Seeds from Year 2015 Crop (5000 tons), and full crop of year 2016 (12000 tons) and the current crop 2017 (12000 tons) are still kept untouched in Turkey owing to no exports to India. Even though T.M.O (Turkish Grain Board) the concerned authority for the Poppy Seeds Production in Turkey has declared and informed through official Diplomatic channels to the Indian Government that about 29000 tons of White Poppy Seeds is available for exports for India.
Various litigations in multiple Courts of India by the Indian Importers and imprecise import Policy are restricting the process, this time the Law suit has been filed to the Court by a group of Indian Importers soon after the Indian Government declared the new Policy is to choose the importers by Draw of Lots which is not acceptable by most of the regular importers who are importing these product for two decades from Turkey and not got their luck in Draw of lots needless to say they are already making serious financial losses for not getting their cargo shipped on time therefore the Importers have made a request to set up a proper procedure and policy to import Poppy Seeds from Turkey. Indian Government Authorities claim that they can’t proceed any further until unless the Courts of India gives green signal.
There is an ongoing speculation that the Turkish Exporters have sold over 5000 tons of White Poppy Seeds to India since the beginning of July 2016. In other words, Turkish White Poppy Seeds market is going through serious financial crunch because of two main reasons one is almost all the exporters, stockist, traders have bought White Poppy Seeds to their maximum capacity and the second reason is whatever the Cargo sold to India, the importers have paid only 10% to 20% as prepayment which again blocks the finance, the cargos are kept unshipped since July 2016 over 16 months.
Every day Turkish market is waking up and witnessing to a new piece of rumour that Indian Government will open imports this week or after 10 days and price will cross 3500 $ instantly. These rumours are relentlessly continuing for last 16 months. Turkish traders are desperate to sell their cargoes and get out but they are not getting any opening this time. Somehow these rumours and some little buying keep the market active. There is strong speculation by Traders that 29000 tons of White Poppy Seeds not available as claimed by T.M.O (Turkish Grain Board) and traders claim that available white poppy seeds are well below 20000 but as a responsible broker Turkey Dalal Company, we would like to make a point that T.M.O reports are the most reliable source of information in Turkey for many decades. We estimate the quantity of White Poppy Seeds is anything between 25000 to 27000 tons as a bottom.
We understand that the speculation on quantity is to increase the prices and to lure India into bullish buying. Nevertheless, there is very little or no Turkish White Poppy Seed is available in India now which may push India to enter the market aggressively as soon as the import starts which is expected in the coming months. We predict the prices to touch the new high of 3500 $ from the current price level of 2800 $ when the Indian Government permit imports into India.
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